KF Besa vs Pelister analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
12º
11º
39
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Besa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
OHR
1 - 5
BES
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 2
BES
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BES
0 - 0
RAB
34%
29%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
TIK
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 1
PEL
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
FCS
22%
27%
52%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
2 - 0
PEL
67%
20%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 0
SIL
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
PEL
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |