KF Besa vs Kozuv Gevgelija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
5º
9º
6º
33
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
89% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 39 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
77% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Besa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
BES
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BES
6 - 1
TET
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
BES
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BES
3 - 2
FKS
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VOK
2 - 1
BES
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kozuv Gevgelija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KGE
3 - 2
SAS
35%
29%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
KGE
0 - 2
KAR
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
3 - 0
KGE
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FKB
0 - 2
KGE
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KGE
0 - 2
TIK
9%
19%
72%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |