A PFG Round 5

Beroe vs Spartak Varna analysis

Beroe Spartak Varna
57 ELO 66
-3.8% Tilt 6.8%
1628º General ELO ranking 1927º
10º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
31.3%
Beroe
26.2%
Draw
42.4%
Spartak Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
Beroe
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.4%
Win probability
Spartak Varna
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beroe
-12%
-15%
Spartak Varna

ELO progression

Beroe
Spartak Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beroe
Beroe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2000
HEB
Hebar Pazardzhik
3 - 0
Beroe
BER
40%
26%
34%
59 56 3 0
19 Aug. 2000
BER
Beroe
1 - 0
Chernomoretz Burgas
CHB
39%
27%
34%
58 63 5 +1
12 Aug. 2000
SSO
Slavia Sofia
1 - 1
Beroe
BER
72%
18%
11%
58 74 16 0
05 Aug. 2000
BER
Beroe
0 - 2
Levski Sofia
LSO
18%
26%
56%
58 79 21 0
10 Jun. 2000
BER
Beroe
1 - 0
Dobrudzha Dobrich
DOB
34%
27%
40%
58 66 8 0

Matches

Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2000
SVA
Spartak Varna
0 - 3
Velbazhd
VEL
51%
23%
26%
66 67 1 0
19 Aug. 2000
CVA
Cherno More Varna
0 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
30%
26%
45%
67 57 10 -1
12 Aug. 2000
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 0
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
51%
24%
24%
66 66 0 +1
05 Aug. 2000
NEF
Neftochimic Burgas
2 - 5
Spartak Varna
SVA
74%
16%
10%
65 78 13 +1
10 Jun. 2000
SVA
Spartak Varna
5 - 3
Velbazhd
VEL
49%
25%
26%
64 67 3 +1