Beroe vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
13º
12º
74
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
BER
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
LSO
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BPL
0 - 2
BER
8%
14%
78%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SSO
2 - 0
BER
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
SVA
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 0
HJK
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 1
CSK
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
HJK
1 - 1
LUD
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LSO
1 - 0
LUD
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 1
ARK
62%
21%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |