A PFG Round 25

Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis

Beroe Lokomotiv Plovdiv
72 ELO 77
-19.8% Tilt -3.1%
1626º General ELO ranking 1943º
10º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Beroe
28.6%
Draw
42.5%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
Beroe
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
42.6%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beroe
-11%
+9%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

ELO progression

Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beroe
Beroe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2011
OFK
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2 - 0
Beroe
BER
44%
28%
29%
72 71 1 0
24 Apr. 2011
BER
Beroe
2 - 3
Levski Sofia
LSO
29%
29%
42%
73 79 6 -1
16 Apr. 2011
BER
Beroe
2 - 0
FK Minyor Pernik
FKM
41%
29%
30%
72 70 2 +1
09 Apr. 2011
KAL
Kaliakra
2 - 2
Beroe
BER
23%
28%
50%
72 60 12 0
03 Apr. 2011
BER
Beroe
1 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
26%
27%
47%
71 78 7 +1

Matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2011
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3 - 0
FK Minyor Pernik
FKM
64%
21%
15%
77 70 7 0
25 Apr. 2011
KAL
Kaliakra
1 - 3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
17%
26%
58%
77 60 17 0
17 Apr. 2011
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
47%
25%
29%
77 78 1 0
10 Apr. 2011
MON
Montana
1 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
26%
27%
46%
77 65 12 0
06 Apr. 2011
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 - 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad
OFK
68%
19%
13%
77 71 6 0