Beroe vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
BER
1 - 0
ETA
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SEP
1 - 0
BER
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BER
2 - 1
LSO
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BVR
0 - 1
BER
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
CVA
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
VER
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ETA
3 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 2
LUD
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SEP
2 - 1
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
SSO
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |