A PFG round 4

Beroe vs Chernomoretz Burgas analysis

Beroe Chernomoretz Burgas
71 ELO 77
-18.3% Tilt -2.6%
1889º General ELO ranking 17991º
10º Country ELO ranking 112º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Beroe
30%
Draw
36.5%
Chernomoretz Burgas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
Beroe
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
36.5%
Win probability
Chernomoretz Burgas
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Beroe
Chernomoretz Burgas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beroe
Beroe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2011
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
3 - 0
Beroe
BER
60%
22%
18%
73 79 6 0
13 Aug. 2011
BER
Beroe
1 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
54%
26%
20%
73 65 8 0
07 Aug. 2011
LOV
Litex Lovech
2 - 1
Beroe
BER
55%
24%
21%
73 78 5 0
28 May. 2011
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 0
Beroe
BER
52%
26%
22%
73 79 6 0
21 May. 2011
BER
Beroe
1 - 1
Vidima-Rakovski
VID
64%
24%
13%
73 59 14 0

Matches

Chernomoretz Burgas
Chernomoretz Burgas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2011
CHB
Chernomoretz Burgas
2 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
38%
27%
35%
76 79 3 0
13 Aug. 2011
CSK
CSKA Sofia
1 - 0
Chernomoretz Burgas
CHB
56%
24%
20%
76 79 3 0
06 Aug. 2011
CHB
Chernomoretz Burgas
1 - 0
Kaliakra
KAL
70%
20%
10%
76 62 14 0
12 Jun. 2011
VID
Vidima-Rakovski
0 - 3
Chernomoretz Burgas
CHB
28%
26%
46%
75 60 15 +1
28 May. 2011
CHB
Chernomoretz Burgas
1 - 2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
39%
27%
35%
75 78 3 0