Berliner AK 07 U19 vs St. Pauli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
32%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
7º
7º
15
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berliner AK 07 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
BAK
61%
18%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BAK
9 - 3
HAN
43%
21%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
2 - 1
BAK
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BAK
5 - 3
FCM
64%
18%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BAK
0 - 0
HOL
67%
17%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
St. Pauli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
UBE
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
PAU
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
PAU
57%
19%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 5
WOL
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CZJ
3 - 6
PAU
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |