Bergum vs Joure analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
ACH
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 3
BER
58%
22%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BER
4 - 3
STE
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DIO
0 - 1
BER
13%
20%
68%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FVC
4 - 3
BER
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Joure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
JOU
1 - 1
VVE
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ACH
1 - 2
JOU
61%
19%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
JOU
2 - 2
DIO
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
3 - 1
JOU
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
JOU
5 - 1
VEL
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |