Bergisch Gladbach vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
16º
6º
31
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BGP
2 - 1
BER
12%
18%
69%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
SVW
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
SCF
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BER
4 - 0
PES
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
4 - 1
BER
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BWF
1 - 2
VFL
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SPF
5 - 0
BWF
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BWF
4 - 0
VIA
45%
21%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
H05
2 - 0
BWF
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BWF
1 - 8
BSC
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |