Bergerac vs Angouleme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BER
5 - 0
BAY
51%
26%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ROD
0 - 1
BER
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
AUR
42%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LEG
0 - 1
BER
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BER
2 - 1
ALB
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ANG
2 - 0
ROD
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 1
ANG
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ANG
2 - 2
LEG
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
ANG
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ANG
7 - 2
SAI
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |