Bergara KE vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
50.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergara KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
CDU
2 - 0
BKE
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
BKE
2 - 1
SDA
19%
29%
52%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BAR
1 - 0
BKE
90%
8%
2%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BKE
2 - 4
GER
27%
30%
43%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ARE
3 - 1
BKE
74%
18%
8%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
BAS
1 - 1
TOL
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
RUN
2 - 2
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
4 - 1
HER
72%
17%
10%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
SFC
1 - 2
BAS
32%
29%
39%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
4 - 1
SDE
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |