Bergantiños FC vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
BER
0 - 3
DEP
4%
11%
85%
|
36 | 79 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BER
2 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
BER
26%
25%
50%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
ALO
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 3
BER
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
CHO
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 1
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BOI
2 - 1
CHO
59%
21%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 2
RCV
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
CHO
25%
25%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |