IFK Berga vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
9º
37
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
NOS
2 - 0
BER
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
KRI
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
IFK
2 - 1
BER
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
HAS
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 1
BER
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
SIM
0 - 3
KRI
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 0
SIM
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SIM
4 - 1
FBK
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 0
SIM
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 2
MAL
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |