Berco vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TIR
2 - 1
BSC
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 0
BSC
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 1
SMP
51%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
BSC
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 4
MAC
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 1
MIR
54%
23%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
AMA
50%
27%
23%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 0
VIL
60%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 2
AMA
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 1
TIR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |