Berazategui vs Dock Sud analysis


58	ELO	61
-3.9%	Tilt	-13.1%
4424º	General ELO ranking	2558º
123º	Country ELO ranking	91º
ELO win probability

37.3%

Berazategui

27.8%

Draw

34.9%

Dock Sud

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

37.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%

27.8%

Draw

0-0

9.2%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.8%

34.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+1%

-11%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Berazategui

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Sep. 2011	ARM 1 - 1 BER 47% 28% 25%	58	58	0	0
02 Sep. 2011	BER 3 - 0 LUJ 57% 25% 18%	57	53	4	+1
27 Aug. 2011	SMG 0 - 1 BER 38% 29% 34%	56	52	4	+1
20 Aug. 2011	BER 0 - 2 SAC 60% 23% 17%	57	50	7	-1
11 Aug. 2011	JJU 1 - 1 BER 39% 29% 32%	57	55	2	0

Matches

Dock Sud

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Sep. 2011	DOC 1 - 3 POR 68% 21% 12%	63	50	13	0
03 Sep. 2011	CCO 5 - 1 DOC 42% 27% 31%	64	61	3	-1
28 Aug. 2011	DOC 2 - 1 ALE 73% 19% 9%	64	51	13	0
21 Aug. 2011	DOC 1 - 0 ARM 54% 25% 21%	63	60	3	+1
11 Aug. 2011	LUJ 0 - 0 DOC 23% 28% 50%	63	53	10	0