Berazategui vs Dep. Paraguayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
BER
2 - 0
LUG
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 2
BER
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2007 |
BER
0 - 0
MUÑ
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 3
BER
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 0
BER
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
UAI
1 - 0
DPA
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
DPA
2 - 4
LIN
26%
27%
48%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CAA
3 - 1
DPA
67%
20%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
DPA
0 - 1
CLA
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
CBA
0 - 0
DPA
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |