Benfica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 0
BOA
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
SLB
11%
19%
70%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 4
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VST
0 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
VST
3 - 0
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 1
VST
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 1
VST
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VST
4 - 1
RIO
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |