Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
FEN
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 3
LYO
50%
22%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
JUV
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
BVB
2 - 2
SLB
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SEV
0 - 1
SLB
50%
24%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 2
TON
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
VIT
21%
22%
57%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
TON
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
OLI
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 1
PEN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |