Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
SLB
0 - 0
SCP
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
SLB
1 - 0
EST
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
FAR
1 - 1
SLB
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
VIT
2 - 4
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
SAL
1 - 2
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
VIT
6 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
UDL
1 - 2
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
VIT
1 - 0
BEL
65%
19%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
VIT
2 - 4
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |