Europa League Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 4-1
Benfica vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VST
0 - 2
SLB
15%
21%
65%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
44%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 4
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 2
SLB
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
STU
1 - 4
FCN
64%
20%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 3
STU
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
STU
0 - 1
SCF
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BVB
1 - 1
STU
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
STU
1 - 0
M05
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |