Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 7
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
FCB
0 - 0
SLB
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
SLB
4 - 1
PAÇ
82%
12%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SLB
6 - 1
SPB
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BYM
5 - 2
SLB
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
TON
82%
14%
4%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
SCP
3 - 1
BVB
21%
21%
58%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
VAR
80%
14%
5%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SCP
12%
21%
67%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SCP
4 - 0
BJK
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |