Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 2
SLB
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
35%
26%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 1
BAS
63%
20%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
OLH
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BMA
0 - 1
SLB
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 0
SPB
60%
23%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SCP
3 - 1
UDL
79%
14%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 0
SCP
26%
26%
49%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FEI
0 - 2
SCP
12%
22%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
SCP
6 - 1
GFC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |