Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1988 |
NAC
0 - 1
SLB
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
SLB
2 - 1
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
SPB
0 - 0
SLB
20%
29%
51%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
SCP
0 - 0
BEL
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
FAR
1 - 0
SCP
17%
26%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1988 |
SCP
2 - 2
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
ACV
2 - 2
SCP
11%
25%
64%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
SCP
1 - 0
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |