Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
VST
2 - 1
SLB
16%
19%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
SLB
5 - 4
SCP
60%
18%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
SLB
5 - 0
FCB
86%
9%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
FCB
2 - 1
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
SPC
2 - 2
SLB
25%
20%
56%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEL
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1952 |
JUV
3 - 2
SCP
61%
17%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1952 |
NIC
4 - 2
SCP
35%
21%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
SLB
5 - 4
SCP
60%
18%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1952 |
SCP
5 - 2
FCP
83%
10%
7%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |