Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
LEX
2 - 4
SLB
7%
11%
82%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
BEL
5 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 4
SLB
54%
20%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
SLB
7 - 1
FAB
92%
5%
3%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
VIT
5 - 1
SLB
18%
18%
64%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
OLH
1 - 3
SCP
17%
18%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
SCP
4 - 3
LEX
97%
2%
1%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 7
SCP
31%
20%
49%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
UNI
2 - 4
SCP
23%
19%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |