Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1957 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCB
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
FCB
0 - 1
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1957 |
SLB
4 - 0
TOR
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
SLB
2 - 2
TOR
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1957 |
TOR
1 - 1
SLB
27%
21%
52%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1957 |
VST
1 - 0
SPC
58%
19%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
SPC
3 - 0
VST
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
SPC
1 - 0
FCP
36%
22%
42%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1957 |
FCP
1 - 2
SPC
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
SPC
7 - 2
LGC
51%
21%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |