Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
5.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
SLB
1 - 0
ATL
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 5
SLB
32%
20%
48%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SLB
2 - 1
MAR
88%
8%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
MAR
0 - 3
SLB
25%
19%
55%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SPC
5 - 5
SLB
27%
20%
54%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SLB
4 - 1
SPC
88%
8%
5%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1951 |
SPC
5 - 1
ATL
46%
22%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPC
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPC
0 - 1
ORI
68%
16%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |