Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
SLB
4 - 0
FAM
85%
10%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
SLB
3 - 0
ZEN
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 4
SLB
10%
20%
70%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 1
SLB
9%
19%
72%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SLB
4 - 0
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SPB
0 - 1
PAÇ
82%
13%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
SBR
2 - 4
SPB
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 0
SPB
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
SPB
2 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
SPB
3 - 3
WOL
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |