Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SLB
4 - 3
SCP
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
OLP
1 - 0
SLB
33%
24%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 0
NAC
72%
17%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 1
OLP
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
OLH
1 - 3
SPB
20%
26%
54%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SPB
0 - 1
RIO
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SPB
0 - 1
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GDR
0 - 2
SPB
2%
12%
86%
|
88 | 40 | 48 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPB
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |