Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SLB
0 - 1
GON
93%
6%
1%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 1
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SLB
7 - 0
PAÇ
70%
18%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 2
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MAI
1 - 1
SPB
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 0
BMA
61%
21%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 0
SPB
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
SPB
2 - 4
VIT
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
GFC
3 - 0
SPB
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |