Benfica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
3.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
GFC
0 - 5
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SLB
5 - 1
ACA
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEN
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
ARO
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SPB
4 - 0
PEN
79%
16%
5%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
BOA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |