Europa League . Last 16
Global 4-3
Benfica vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
SLB
2 - 0
UDL
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
PSG
2 - 1
SLB
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 1
SLB
15%
23%
61%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SLB
3 - 1
PAÇ
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
DBU
1 - 2
SLB
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PSG
0 - 1
AUX
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
PSG
2 - 1
SLB
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
SED
2 - 0
PSG
34%
30%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
SOC
2 - 1
PSG
47%
28%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PSG
0 - 2
ASS
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |