Europa League 1/32
Global 3-3
Benfica vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ALV
3 - 1
SLB
15%
25%
60%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SLB
1 - 1
BOA
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
PAO
1 - 2
SLB
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
GFC
0 - 2
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
PAO
0 - 1
PAN
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
IRA
3 - 1
PAO
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
PAO
1 - 2
SLB
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
PAO
2 - 0
ETH
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
PAN
1 - 1
PAO
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |