Benfica vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 0
EST
75%
16%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SLB
0 - 1
SCP
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
SLB
24%
25%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
AME
0 - 0
SLB
25%
25%
50%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
ARO
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
PAÇ
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
FAM
3 - 1
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |