Benfica vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 2
SLB
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 0
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 0
RIO
75%
17%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 1
SLB
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
SLB
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 2
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
GFC
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
PED
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | +2 |