UCL Qualifying Tercera Ronda Final

Global 7-2

Benfica vs Midtjylland analysis

Benfica Midtjylland
89 ELO 84
12.1% Tilt 14.1%
101º General ELO ranking 253º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.5%
Benfica
18.2%
Draw
14.3%
Midtjylland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
Benfica
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.3%
Win probability
Midtjylland
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Benfica
+13%
+9%
Midtjylland

ELO progression

Benfica
Midtjylland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2022
SLB
Benfica
3 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
69%
18%
13%
89 84 5 0
22 Jul. 2022
SLB
Benfica
4 - 2
Girona
GIR
77%
15%
9%
89 80 9 0
17 Jul. 2022
SLB
Benfica
5 - 1
Fulham
FUL
72%
17%
11%
89 82 7 0
15 Jul. 2022
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Nice
NIC
70%
18%
12%
89 83 6 0
09 Jul. 2022
REA
Reading
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
6%
16%
78%
89 65 24 0

Matches

Midtjylland
Midtjylland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2022
OBK
Odense BK
1 - 5
Midtjylland
MID
22%
25%
53%
84 75 9 0
26 Jul. 2022
AEK
AEK Larnaca
1 - 1
Midtjylland
MID
24%
25%
51%
84 76 8 0
22 Jul. 2022
MID
Midtjylland
1 - 3
Silkeborg IF
SIF
64%
20%
16%
84 77 7 0
19 Jul. 2022
MID
Midtjylland
1 - 1
AEK Larnaca
AEK
67%
19%
14%
84 76 8 0
15 Jul. 2022
MID
Midtjylland
1 - 1
Randers
RAN
73%
17%
10%
84 74 10 0