UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 7-2
Benfica vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 2
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
4 - 2
GIR
77%
15%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
5 - 1
FUL
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 0
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
REA
0 - 2
SLB
6%
16%
78%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
OBK
1 - 5
MID
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 1
MID
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
MID
1 - 3
SIF
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
AEK
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MID
1 - 1
RAN
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |