Benfica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
79%
13%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1961 |
SLB
5 - 1
AUS
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ACA
3 - 1
SLB
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1961 |
AUS
1 - 1
SLB
43%
22%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
SLB
1 - 1
SPC
85%
10%
6%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
LGC
5 - 0
ACA
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 2
LGC
56%
22%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
LGC
2 - 1
OLH
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 0
LGC
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
LGC
4 - 0
LEX
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |