Benfica vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 0
MOR
73%
19%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SLB
1 - 1
SPB
64%
23%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
FCN
2 - 2
SLB
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 2
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
GET
3 - 3
MLL
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
GET
3 - 1
RAC
53%
26%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
RMA
0 - 1
GET
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
GET
3 - 0
AEK
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
GET
0 - 0
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |