Taça de Portugal . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 2
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
AZA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
4 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
AZA
0 - 1
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 3
FCP
37%
26%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
SEV
4 - 1
FCP
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
FCP
1 - 0
SEV
45%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
FCP
24%
25%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |