Benfica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
SLB
4 - 2
BEL
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
SPC
1 - 3
SLB
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
61%
20%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
SPB
0 - 4
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1960 |
UJP
2 - 1
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
FCB
0 - 2
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
BEL
4 - 0
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPC
52%
23%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 1
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 4
SPB
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |