Benfica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.2%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 2
BEL
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 2
ASA
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1969 |
ASA
0 - 4
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
UFT
0 - 4
SLB
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1969 |
FCB
2 - 0
FAB
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1969 |
FAB
3 - 0
FCB
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
UNM
0 - 3
FAB
46%
22%
32%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
FAB
7 - 0
UNM
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
FAB
0 - 3
VST
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |