Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 0
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 3
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 3
EST
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 3
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TON
0 - 2
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |