Benfica vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 2
SLB
12%
23%
65%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1976 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
BMA
0 - 2
SLB
12%
23%
65%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
LEX
1 - 0
SLB
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
F95
1 - 1
BYM
38%
24%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 0
KFC
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
BRE
0 - 0
BYM
29%
24%
47%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
PIR
0 - 2
BYM
20%
20%
60%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 0
KSC
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |