Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 4
SLB
9%
15%
75%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1967 |
SLB
3 - 1
FAB
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 0
SLB
52%
21%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 0
ASS
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
TIR
0 - 0
SLB
10%
15%
76%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 0
FCB
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 0
ACA
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
ACA
5 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 0
SCP
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |