Uefa Youth League Group E Round 4

Benfica U19 vs Ajax U19 analysis

Benfica U19 Ajax U19
47 ELO 45
-2.3% Tilt 5.6%
2264º General ELO ranking 6559º
44º Country ELO ranking 117º
ELO win probability
38.1%
Benfica U19
22.5%
Draw
39.4%
Ajax U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
Benfica U19
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
39.5%
Win probability
Ajax U19
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Benfica U19
+17%
+11%
Ajax U19

ELO progression

Benfica U19
Ajax U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benfica U19
Benfica U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2018
AJA
Ajax U19
3 - 0
Benfica U19
BEN
30%
22%
48%
48 42 6 0
02 Oct. 2018
AEK
AEK Athens U19
1 - 3
Benfica U19
BEN
8%
12%
80%
48 16 32 0
19 Sep. 2018
BEN
Benfica U19
3 - 0
Bayern München U19
BYM
73%
17%
10%
48 27 21 0
05 Dec. 2017
BEN
Benfica U19
0 - 0
FC Basel U19
BAS
64%
20%
16%
49 38 11 -1
22 Nov. 2017
CSK
CSKA Moskva U19
2 - 0
Benfica U19
BEN
12%
18%
70%
50 35 15 -1

Matches

Ajax U19
Ajax U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2018
AJA
Ajax U19
5 - 0
NEC OSS U19
NEC
89%
8%
3%
45 23 22 0
23 Oct. 2018
AJA
Ajax U19
3 - 0
Benfica U19
BEN
30%
22%
48%
42 48 6 +3
20 Oct. 2018
SPR
Sparta Rotterdam U19
2 - 4
Ajax U19
AJA
18%
19%
63%
41 31 10 +1
06 Oct. 2018
AJA
Ajax U19
1 - 1
Groningen U19
GRO
88%
8%
3%
41 23 18 0
02 Oct. 2018
BYM
Bayern München U19
2 - 2
Ajax U19
AJA
16%
18%
66%
42 27 15 -1