Benevento vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 2
BEN
10%
20%
70%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAS
77%
17%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 1
VIG
79%
16%
5%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 2
BEN
8%
18%
74%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 2
FCC
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 1
LEC
6%
18%
76%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 0
NUO
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
JUS
1 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |