Benevento vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAS
39%
27%
33%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
SAS
2 - 1
BEN
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 1
NOC
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ASC
4 - 0
BEN
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BEN
0 - 1
GIU
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
FER
1 - 0
NOC
54%
24%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 2
FER
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FER
1 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GIU
1 - 0
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
FER
2 - 2
VIS
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |