Serie C Grupo C round 22

Benevento vs Casertana analysis

Benevento Casertana
70 ELO 55
8% Tilt -12.6%
757º General ELO ranking 2484º
42º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
74.2%
Benevento
16.9%
Draw
8.9%
Casertana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
Benevento
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.9%
Win probability
Casertana
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Benevento
Their league position
Casertana
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
17º
65
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Benevento
Casertana
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Benevento
Casertana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benevento
Benevento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
1 - 2
Benevento
BEN
15%
26%
59%
70 49 21 0
06 Jan. 2024
BEN
Benevento
3 - 2
Turris Neapolis
TUR
78%
15%
7%
70 52 18 0
23 Dec. 2023
BEN
Benevento
0 - 4
Catania
CAT
63%
22%
15%
71 64 7 -1
18 Dec. 2023
LAT
Latina
0 - 0
Benevento
BEN
16%
26%
58%
71 55 16 0
10 Dec. 2023
BEN
Benevento
0 - 1
Avellino
AVE
68%
20%
12%
72 61 11 -1

Matches

Casertana
Casertana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2024
CAS
Casertana
0 - 2
ACR Messina
MES
61%
22%
17%
56 51 5 0
06 Jan. 2024
MON
Monopoli
1 - 2
Casertana
CAS
40%
26%
34%
56 54 2 0
23 Dec. 2023
SOR
Sorrento
1 - 1
Casertana
CAS
32%
27%
41%
56 53 3 0
18 Dec. 2023
CAS
Casertana
3 - 1
SSC Giugliano
SSC
47%
25%
28%
55 55 0 +1
08 Dec. 2023
PIC
Picerno
0 - 0
Casertana
CAS
59%
24%
17%
55 64 9 0