Benevento vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
BEN
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
PRG
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 1
BEN
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -3 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CTT
3 - 1
SAL
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 0
CTT
16%
25%
59%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CTT
3 - 2
VNZ
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PAD
0 - 0
CTT
16%
25%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 1
USF
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |